Articles tagged: clinton
Posted by: Brent James on April 17, 2008 Hot Issues •
Who do you trust in the race to the White House? Right now, it’s not necessary that you trust anyone as this contest has more than six months left. I used to think it was excruciating to watch a mile race, that is, until I became a miler. Then, it seemed fast.
Polls are amusing, but not particularly reliable over any period. There are simply too many variables – and those change daily. Any number of mishaps or minor revelations could erupt into a feeding frenzy, dropping a candidate’s numbers overnight. As we have seen.
In February, a general election Rasmussen poll showed McCain losing to both Democrats by a few points. Pew Research indicated similar findings. By March, Zogby was reporting a stronger McCain beating the Democrats by fewer than 10 points. That same month, Gallup reported Hillary and Obama each beating McCain by similar margins. There were some likely reasons, however. Into the mix went Obama’s Pastorgate, Hilllary’s Bosnia sniper story and the Obama remarks attacked as “elitist” by McCain and Hillary. Shakeup and take some more polls.
The most recent Zogby, Rasmussen, and Gallup polls show strong similarities for the general election results. Separated by a hair’s breadth, in order, are Obama, McCain, and Clinton. Even the electoral math, based on the individual state contests, has Obama winning 280 delegates to McCain’s 258.
Depending on where you stand, this could be encouraging or discouraging, but don’t count on these numbers staying the same. There’s just too much time left and too much money left to spend. My only wish in all this is that the billion dollars that will have been spent campaigning would’ve been given to support Christian outreach the world over.
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Posted by: Brent James on May 10, 2008 Hot Issues •
Is it over? Howard Dean hopes so. Rush clearly doesn’t. Whatever your take, George McGovern, speaking aloud what many democrats would only whisper quietly, has urged Hillary Clinton to step aside by declaring that Barak had won the nomination.
The Clinton campaign, despite numerous suggestions and pleas for a white flag, has given no signs they intend to shut down. George Stephanopoulos encouraged Hillary to accept the vice presidential role.
Speaking with John Gibson on radio last week, Geraldine Ferraro, who has been working with Clinton from a distance, advised that there is still a chance for a Clinton victory. The thinking is this: If Hillary could win 80% of these remaining Democrat primaries, she would tie Barak H. Obama for delegates, but not the popular vote. That’s a big “if”.
May 13 - West Virginia
May 20 - Kentucky, Oregon
June 3 - South Dakota, Montana
There is another possibility that in recent days has gathered optimism based on comments from Howard Dean. That is, whether or not the Florida and Michigan delegations will be seated. Dean told CNN “I think the delegates are eventually going to be seated in Florida and Michigan as soon as we get an agreement between the candidates on how to do that.” Then last week, he followed that statement on the Daily Show, by confirming that both state’s delegations would definitely be seated.
One issue remains for Clinton and Obama, how this is going to be worked out.
For Barak Obama, including the full delegation would complicate his winning the nomination, which for many, is a done deal. The full inclusion of both delegations would cut his lead and mean that Clinton would be ahead in the popular vote.
But the superdelegate count may be the deal breaker. Clinton once led 169-63. By March 2008, her lead was a scant 35. As of May, the New York Times has Clinton leading by only one. ABC shows Obama leading by two.
Howard Dean, Chairman of the DNC, announced last week that one of the candidates must step down by June so the primaries can be wrapped up.
However things seem to be evaporating, remember Clinton is a pro, and as such is not easily deterred. She has Bill in her corner as well as a host of brilliant political strategists probing each and every contingency as they search for daylight. Don’t count her out. All she needs is a little breathing room and sometimes, that can come suddenly out of thin air.
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