Articles tagged: primaries

1 Down, 3 To Go

1 Down, 3 To Go

Getting lean is what its all about. Thinning the pack is a good thing, unless of course, your dog got booted. Rough to say, but that’s the reality of this gig. Last man standing.

Here’s where we are:

Over the weekend, Barak Obama & John McCain swept the state primaries of Virginia, Maryland, and Washington D.C. for their respective parties. The current delegate totals won by each candidate, as well as the number needed to win the party nomination, are listed below.

REPUBLICANS (1191 to Win) McCain 921 Huckabee 243 Paul 14

DEMOCRATS (2025 to Win) Obama 1275 Clinton 1220

NEXT STOP – Wisconsin, Washington, and Hawaii (Dems Only) on Tuesday, Feb 19th.

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Get It Over With

The more valuable information we have with which to make decisions, the better. In this contest, even the unsavory claims merit. Quietly sifting for useful dirt, the operatives would do well to spare us the time and trouble (not to mention contributions) by springing their surprises now, rather than in October. But these things take time, you see. Revelations work their way to the surface slowly, sometimes by coincidence, often by calculation. I suspect as the conventions draw near, most will come on cue.

The sharp exchanges of Thursday’s debate in Austin were more about the next round of primaries than any alleged differences between the candidates. Texas and Ohio could extend a lead or crush a dream. Beyond March 4th, the string of primaries runs until June 3rd after which we have five months of waiting for the general election – a seeming eternity to gather facts or become disillusioned.

Expect this period to be punctuated by harsh claims and brutal assaults. After all, this is war. Be not anxious for the next shoe to drop. Gee, how can you help it?

A friend who owns a sick snake exclaimed, “Believe me, there’s nothing worse than a thrown-up mouse.” Well, I can think of one – an October Surprise that knocks your choice out of the race.

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Primaries & Doldrums

The Mississippi Primary on March 11 didn’t do much in the way of deciding who will be the Democrat’s presidential nominee, but that’s nothing new in this election season. As expected, both candidates will most likely arrive at the finish line in somewhat of a stalemate. That isn’t to say one might not have a decided advantage. But advantages are like the wind being quite hard to keep. In Mississippi, Barak Obama won 61% to Clinton’s 37%. The delegates went 19 and 14, respectively.

Looking at the results, it is most interesting to see how few voted and of those who did vote, how many of them chose to write-in other candidates, apparently dissatisfied with the current national choices. While the percentages of those preferring other candidates was small, they do provide a glimpse into what is becoming a rather unusual election.

Some Christian leaders remain steadfast that all believers have a spiritual-moral duty (civic duty perhaps being easier to prove) to cast a vote in November. Others are not so inclined, strongly proclaiming our currently slate of candidates (on both sides of the aisle) unacceptable.

One thing we do know, the remaining primaries are just as unlikely to provide a distanced frontrunner. The pressure is on Clinton to win all of the upcoming contests in order to legitimize her claims that she is the one to lead us. Only thing is, the numbers aren’t there. Coupled with the way delegates are apportioned to the Democrat contest winners, there is no way to overcome Obama’s lead. They will be delivered to the convention floor with options in the works. And there are still the superdelegates, of which Hillary’s commanding lead has shrunk to 34. Of the 795 total, only around 330 remain uncommitted.

The Pennsylvania Primary, coming up next week on April 22, in the latest Zogby poll has it: Clinton 45%, Obama 44%, with 12% still wandering. The effect of Wednesday’s debate is unlikely to change those results.

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